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Håvard Strand
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Håvard Strand
Senior Researcher
Email: hs@prio.no
Work Phone:+47 22 54 77 95
Mobile Phone:+47 99 62 83 71
Profile
Research
Events
Publications
Research Interest My current research focuses on further development of the UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset, the relationship between political institutions and armed conflicts, and the relationship between data structures and statistical estimators.

Working experience:

1996-2000: Computer Dept., Faculty of Social Sciences, NTNU
2000-2001: Research Assistant, PRIO
2002-2006: Researcher, PRIO (20% position)
2002-2006: Research Fellow, Dept. of Political Science, UiO
2006-:        Senior Researcher, PRIO

PRIO started tracking events online in 2007. This listing is not complete. Past events may be mentioned in our news archive.

Peer-reviewed-Journal-Article

Hegre, Håvard;Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv;Strand, Håvard;Urdal, Henrik; & Karlsen, Joakim (2013) Predicting Armed Conflict, 2010-2050 , International Studies Quarterly 55(2): 1–21. [Forthcoming]
Gates, Scott;Hegre, Håvard;Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; & Strand, Håvard (2012) Development Consequences of Armed Conflict , World Development 40(9): 1713–1722.
Tollefsen, Andreas Forø;Strand, Håvard; & Buhaug, Halvard (2012) PRIO-GRID: A Unified Spatial Data Structure , Journal of Peace Research 49(2): 363–374.
Strand, Håvard (2011) Deconstructing Civil War: A Rejoinder , Security Dialogue 42(3): 297–302.
Østby, Gudrun;Urdal, Henrik;Tadjoeddin, Zulfan;Murshed, S. Mansoob; & Strand, Håvard (2011) Population Pressure, Horizontal Inequalities and Political Violence: A Disaggregated Study of Indonesian Provinces, 1990-2003 , Journal of Development Studies 47(3): 377–398.
Strand, Håvard;Jones, Mark P.;Hegre, Håvard; & Gates, Scott (2006) Institutional Inconsistency and Political Instability: Polity Duration, 1800-2000 , American Journal of Political Science 50(4): 893–908.
Strand, Håvard;Gleditsch, Nils Petter; & Sørli, Mirjam E. (2005) Why Is There So Much Conflict in the Middle East? , Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(1): 141–165.
Gleditsch, Nils Petter; & Strand, Håvard (2003) Posting Your Data: Will You Be Scooped or Will You Be Famous? , International Studies Perspectives 4(1): 89–97.
Strand, Håvard;Sollenberg, Margareta;Eriksson, Mikael;Wallensteen, Peter; & Gleditsch, Nils Petter (2002) Armed Conflict 1946–2001: A New Dataset , Journal of Peace Research 39(5): .

Book Chapter

Gleditsch, Nils Petter;Hegre, Håvard; & Strand, Håvard(2009) Democracy and Civil War Handbook of War Studies III. : University of Michigan Press(155–192).
Gates, Scott; & Strand, Håvard(2008) Military Intervention, Democratization, and Post-conflict Political Stability Resources, Governance and Civil Conflict. : (147–162).
Strand, Håvard(2005) Terrorens demokratiparadoks Islamistisk Terrorisme. : (217–238).

Non-refereed_Journal_Article

Buhaug, Halvard;Gates, Scott;Hegre, Håvard;Strand, Håvard; & Urdal, Henrik (2009) Nils Petter Gleditsch: A Lifetime Achiever , European Political Science 8(1): 79–89.
Gleditsch, Nils Petter;Sørli, Mirjam E.; & Strand, Håvard (2005) Hva er det med Midtøsten? [What is it about the Middle East] , Babylon 3(2): 10–15.

Popular Article

Strand, Håvard (2007) Freden lar vente på seg [Peace Remains in Limbo], Aftenposten, 1 October.
Urdal, Henrik; & Strand, Håvard (2003) Verden fredeligere–men ikke Afrika [The World More Peaceful–But Not Africa], Dagbladet, 15 October.

Phd Thesis

Strand, Håvard (2007) Political Regimes and Civil War Revisited. PhD thesis, Department of Political Science, University of Oslo, .

Conference Paper

Hegre, Håvard;Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv;Strand, Håvard; & Gates, Scott 2012 The Conflict Trap, presented at American Political Science Association Annual Meeting, , .
Hegre, Håvard 2012 Why Waves? Global Patterns of Democratization, 1816-2008, presented at 3rd International Conference on Democracy as Idea and Practice, Oslo, 12-13 January 2012, , .
Gates, Scott;Hegre, Håvard;Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; & Strand, Håvard 2010 Arab Exceptionalism -- How I Stopped Worrying and Learned to Trust my Secret Police, presented at Peace Science Society (International) , , 21–23 Oct.
Gomsrud, Lars Seland;Gates, Scott; & Strand, Håvard 2009 Surviving the Capitalist Peace: Leaders' Incentives and Economic Freedom, presented at 5th ECPR General Conference, , 10 September.
Strand, Håvard; & Urdal, Henrik 2008 Youth Bulges, Democratic Elections, and Political Instability, presented at 49th Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, , 26–29 March.
Hegre, Håvard;Strand, Håvard; & Urdal, Henrik 2008 The Future of Armed Conflict: Predicting the Incidence of Conflict, 2007-2030, presented at 49th Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, , 26–29 March.
Strand, Håvard;Hegre, Håvard; & Gleditsch, Nils Petter 2007 Democracy and Civil War, presented at Statsvitenskaplig Fagkonferanse, , 3–5 January.
Strand, Håvard;Hegre, Håvard;Jones, Mark P.; & Gates, Scott 2007 Democratic Waves? War, New States, and Global Patterns of Democratization, 1800 –2000, presented at Statsvitenskaplig Fagkonferanse, , 3–5 March.
Strand, Håvard; & Urdal, Henrik 2005 Differential Growth, Political Instability and Violent Conflict, presented at the 46th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, , 1–5 March.
Strand, Håvard; & Gates, Scott 2004 Modeling the Duration of Civil Wars: Measurement and Estimation Issues, presented at Meeting of the Standing Group on International Relations, , 9–11 September.
Strand, Håvard;Jones, Mark; & Gates, Scott 2004 The Escalation Process from Political Instability to War, presented at the 45th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, , 17–20 March.
Gates, Scott; & Strand, Håvard 2004 Military Intervention, Democratization, and Post-conflict Political Stability, presented at the 45th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, , 17–20 March.
Vik, Jostein;Moses, Jonathan;Strand, Håvard; & Gates, Scott 2003 Mini-Skirts, Hula-Hoops and Exchange Rate Regimes: Information Cascades Across Central Banks, presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, , 28 August.
Gates, Scott;Hegre, Håvard;Jones, Mark P.; & Strand, Håvard 2001 On the Shoulders of Giants: A Multi-Dimensional Representation of Political Systems (MIRPS), 1 January.

PRIO Policy Brief

Gates, Scott;Strand, Håvard; & Strøm, Kaare (2010) Peace and Democracy – Can We Have Both? 3. : PRIO.
Strand, Håvard; & Gates, Scott (2008) Lessons Learned from Power-sharing in Africa 8. : PRIO.

PRIO Paper

Buhaug, Halvard;Hegre, Håvard; & Strand, Håvard (2010) Sensitivity Analysis of Climate Variability and Civil War, PRIO Paper, : PRIO.

Report Other

Gates, Scott;Hegre, Håvard; & Strand, Håvard (2007) Global Trends in Armed Conflict: .

Report External Series

Strand, Håvard;Hegre, Håvard;Gates, Scott; & Dahl, Marianne (2012) Why Waves? Global Patterns of Democratization, Working paper, : .
Strand, Håvard; & Dahl, Marianne (2011) Defining Conflict-Affected Countries, Background Paper prepared for the Education for All Global Monitoring Report 2011, : UNESCO.
Gates, Scott;Hegre, Håvard;Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; & Strand, Håvard (2010) Consequences of Civil War, Background paper for World Development Report 2011, : .